Why would a CNN Senior Data Reporter broadcast that “at this particular hour… Donald Trump’s going to put up the best performance with Black voters since Nixon in 1960. Among Hispanics, Donald Trump’s going to put up the best performance for a Republican since 2004.”?
Have Democrats reached the denial stage?
The Guardian’s 10-day polling average tracker showed vice-president Kamala Harris with two-point nationwide lead, down from 4%.
“Tightening poll figures have triggered nervousness and anxiety in Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign, with Donald Trump making gains in the states where it matters most as the election race enters its climactic final phase,” the UK newspaper reported.
● Trump’s campaign has not only focused on the seven key battleground states that ultimately determines who ends up in the White House (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada).
● Trump and JD Vance have been hitting the trail in other locations (California, Illinois, New York and Colorado, for instance) fighting for a maximum number of electoral votes.
● There is strength pulling votes from Democrats and Independents with media and in-person appearances by Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard.
The Guardian editorializes that the swing states “show minuscule differences between the candidates that are within the margin of error. Crucially, Harris enjoys just three – fractional leads in Nevada and Michigan, and a slim one-point advantage in Pennsylvania.”
The problem with the Guardian analysis is that they mock the same type of hype as CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC and other tainted Big Media.
The bottom line today is that if America can tame the massive cheating (ballot harvesting, mules, illegal migrant voting, midnight under the table printed ballots, and cyber cheating), when voters go to the polls between now and November 5th, Trump can easily get past the 270 electoral college votes threshold needed for his reelection.
“Yet the margins are perplexing for Democratic strategists, given that the vice-president’s campaign recently disclosed that it had raised” $1 billion “within 80 days of Harris replacing Joe Biden as the party’s nominee in July. The amount greatly surpasses that raised by Trump’s campaign.”
The Harris-Walz campaign, tainted by her bizzare “word salad” performances, coupled by the strange and suspicious facts emerging about his past (Pedophilia, China, lies…), Democrats appear to be losing momentum as more Independent voters stray away.
Trump has weakened the “blue wall” Rust belt battlegrounds of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania since Harris’s September 10 debate performance. JD Vance overwhelmingly won in his debate against Walz.
Just in the last week:
● Quinnipiac University poll indicated Harris’ five-point lead in Michigan just after the debate turned into a three-point advantage for Trump, 50% to 47%.
● In Wisconsin, a one-point post-debate advantage turned into a 2% lead for Trump.
● In Pennsylvania, a six-point Harris lead was cut to 3%.
● Georgia: Trump is ahead by 50 to Harris at 47%.
● Montana: Trump, up 17, is 57% over Harris at 40%.
● In 7 battleground states among Catholic voters, Trump is 5 points ahead:
Kalshi
Kalshi, the first CFTC regulated exchange dedicated to trading on the outcome of future events, says “the price that a given event contract trades at is actually the market’s assessment of the probability that the event will happen. Our inflation and federal rate forecasts have been more accurate than economists, pundits, and traditional news outlets over the past year.”
“Trump is polling much better than he was in 2016 and 2020, is why he’s ahead in our Presidential market.”
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Heartening statistics for legal votes. 🙂
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Another great read, Jack. This might be the biggest election we’ve seen in a long time, or maybe ever. What I fear is the cheating-all that you mentioned will be on a massive scale, and the Repubs have had years to fix it. There will need to be poll watchers and armed guards watching the ballots and copy machine they use to enter the votes. And why are most of the vote counters in all states, democratic, black women…that should be changed, even-steven. Lets hear some more about this soon.
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